THREAD: bullish day ahead cor ai...
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News Timeline
GOLDMAN SACHS Sounds Alarm: S&P 500 Faces Shock From Trump-ERA Trade Fight
— Goldman Sachs is warning that the recent jump in the S&P 500 may not last. The bank says new trade tensions under President Trump and signs of a weaker economy are big risks for investors.
Trump’s “Liberation Day” announcement has stirred up talk about more U.S.-China tariffs. Goldman Sachs questions if the market can keep rising if these trade fights heat up again.
TD Cowen now says there’s a 70% chance that Chinese stocks could be kicked off U.S. exchanges, thanks to ongoing pressure from Trump’s team. This adds even more worry for investors as trade rules keep changing fast.
These warnings show how quickly things can shift on Wall Street when leaders make bold moves and economic data sends mixed signals. Investors are watching closely to see if tariffs will cause real trouble — or if relief is on the way soon.
US MARKETS SHAKEN: GDP Slump and Trump’S Tough Trade Moves Rattle Investors
— Wall Street had a rocky day. The Dow Jones rose by 141 points, but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq barely moved. New data showed the US economy shrank for the first time in three years, and job growth was weaker than hoped. Many investors are watching President Trump’s trade tariffs as inflation reports come out and tech stocks struggle.
Visa stood strong with big profits and a $30 billion stock buyback plan. CEO Ryan McInerney said Visa’s business model is helping them stay steady in these tough times. But airlines and auto parts companies are still feeling the pain from tariffs.
Outside the US, Pakistan’s stock market crashed over fears of military conflict with India, which also hurt Indian markets. In Europe, the central bank raised interest rates even though banks are still shaky after problems at Credit Suisse.
Tech firms like Super Micro Computer reported less demand for AI equipment, while BlackRock invested more in blockchain technology. Experts say investors should be careful with risky stocks right now and look at safer options as global uncertainty grows.
TRUMP’S Bold Trade Shift Ignites Stock Surge, Gold Soars, Bitcoin ETF Shatters Records
— U.S. stocks jumped for the third day after President Trump signaled a gentler approach on tariffs, especially with China and car makers. The White House is weighing exemptions for auto parts from China, lifting hopes among investors. Big names like Alphabet and Procter?&?Gamble will report earnings soon.
Gold prices shot up over 1% after a rocky week. Uncertainty around the globe and changing interest rates helped push gold above $3,300 an ounce. Experts say it’s smart to hold gold right now as Trump eases up on both the Fed and China.
The U.S. dollar lost steam when Trump backed away from firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell and hinted at softer trade moves. The Japanese Yen got stronger as talk of a fast US-China deal faded.
In crypto news, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF smashed records — pulling in $643 million in one day and winning “Best New ETF.” Trump Media also announced new financial products focused on American-made digital assets and held an invite-only event for top holders of its meme coin.
TRUMP’S “Liberation DAY” Shocks Markets: Wall Street Reels as Tariffs Spark Global Showdown
— President Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs have rocked the markets. The Dow dropped more than 2,000 points on some days. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both fell into bear market territory. These tariffs, reaching up to 125% for some countries, are the highest seen in a hundred years. China, the EU, and Japan are feeling the pain most. China hit back with its own tariffs on American goods. Japan’s finance minister warned of global trouble ahead. Still, US officials say they’re hopeful about future trade talks. Big companies are taking hits too. CarMax shares sank after weak earnings reports. Nvidia tumbled more than 20% from its high point this year. UnitedHealth lowered its profit forecast because Medicare costs keep rising. Experts think this wild ride will last until trade fights settle down. Some industries are holding up better than others under pressure. The Federal Reserve might cut rates three times this year if things get worse — some warn a financial crisis could happen if tariff chaos continues much longer.
STOCK MARKET Chaos: US Faces Economic Fears as Tariffs Loom
— U.S. stocks took a nosedive today as President Donald Trump’s “Liberation Day” approaches, bringing potential tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum imports. Analysts warn these tariffs could trigger a market downturn and increase recession risks. Wolfe Research has already revised U.S. growth estimates for 2025 down to 1.6%.
Retail giant Kohl’s experienced its worst trading day since 1992, with stocks tumbling by 26% after issuing disappointing guidance for the year. Investor anxiety is also heightened by an upcoming House vote on a stopgap funding bill, adding to market volatility.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen 8.3% from its peak, raising concerns about the tech sector’s performance compared to the S&P 500. Investors are bracing for further shifts as policy decisions unfold in the coming days amid fears of reduced earnings across sectors due to new tariffs and declining consumer confidence.
TRUMP’S Targeted Tarif Plan Ignites Stock Surge
— Global stocks soared on Monday, fueled by gains in U.S. markets. Reports suggest President TRUMP’s tariff strategy is more targeted than expected, boosting investor confidence and risk appetite.
U.S. Treasury yields rose with the optimistic outlook on tariffs. Investors hope a targeted approach will ease potential economic disruptions. The market’s reaction shows strong support for Trump’s strategic trade policy shift.
Meanwhile, the IRS expects a significant drop in tax revenue — over 10% by April 15th — according to the Washington Post. This decline raises concerns about fiscal health and future government funding.
In currency markets, the dollar strengthened against both the euro and yen as U.S. business activity improved in March. Bitcoin analysts predict a potential surge to $110K before any major correction, reflecting ongoing interest in cryptocurrency markets.
SENSEX SOARS: 3,000-Point Rally Ignites Investor Hope
— The SENSEX has soared over 3,000 points in just five sessions, marking its best week in four years. This impressive rally is fueled by cooling bond yields and a stronger rupee. Increased foreign investor interest also plays a key role in this upward trend.
Analysts urge investors to stay engaged and see market dips as chances for long-term growth. They warn of short-term volatility that might affect immediate gains. Vinod Nair from Geojit Financial Services highlights that improving domestic indicators are encouraging investors to seize bargains despite global uncertainties.
This surge shows significant market activity and investor sentiment in the Indian stock market. The unusual upward trend suggests optimism among investors amid strong earnings expectations. Staying informed and cautious remains crucial for navigating these financial waters effectively.
SENSEX SURGE: Investors Cheer as Market Confidence Grows
— The SENSEX index opened at 74,474.98 on March 9, 2025, marking a positive start to the trading day. This opening was slightly above its previous close of 74,332.58, signaling growing investor trust in the market’s stability.
As trading progressed, the index gained over 350 points, hitting a high of 74,713.17. This upward trend shows optimism among investors and suggests a strong economic outlook for India.
Growth in the SENSEX is often seen as an indicator of economic health and can positively influence global markets. Investors will be closely watching to see if this momentum continues in the coming days.
METAL STOCKS Soar: Investors Cheer Global Demand Boom
— METAL stocks like Tata Steel, Hindalco, and Vedanta are seeing a rise of up to 4% in share prices. This jump is due to favorable global market conditions and increased demand for metals. Investors feel hopeful about the sector’s future.
Tata Steel shares have climbed about 4%, thanks to positive quarterly results and higher production forecasts. Hindalco gains from rising aluminum prices and a brighter outlook as global demand increases.
Vedanta’s shares are also climbing because of strong performance and smart strategies to boost production efficiency. These companies’ gains show broader economic conditions that favor raw material demand.
Market experts point to international trade dynamics, better supply chains, and more infrastructure spending worldwide for this bullish trend. These factors boost investor confidence in METAL stocks amid growing global need for raw materials.
NVIDIA EARNINGS Shock: What It Means for Inflation and Your Wallet
— The optimism that marked the start of the year for U.S. businesses has faded. Now, economic uncertainty, stalled business activity, and rising prices dominate the scene. Investors are especially focused on Nvidia’s earnings this week to understand the state of the AI market.
Nvidia’s report is vital as tech stocks have struggled in early 2025. The company’s performance could reveal broader market trends and investor feelings about AI technologies. Other companies reporting include Anheuser-Busch InBev, Advance Auto Parts, and Salesforce among others.
Chris Williamson from S&P Global Market Intelligence notes a shift to a gloomier economic outlook. This change highlights concerns about inflation affecting business activities across sectors. As February 2025 continues, these reports will be key in understanding economic directions and investment strategies moving forward.
CHINA’S Tech Boom: How Deepseek AI is Shaking Global Markets
— China’s tech industry is booming, thanks to the rise of the DeepSeek AI model. Major companies like Alibaba, Baidu, and Xiaomi are seeing big benefits. This surge has pushed Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Tech Index up this year.
Alibaba, co-founded by Jack Ma, stands out in this market rally. The company’s growth shows the broader impact of tech advancements on China’s economy. Investors are watching these changes for possible global effects.
The rise in China’s tech stocks might affect U.S. investments and international trade ties. As U.S. markets close with small changes in the S&P 500, global investors keep an eye on shifts in Chinese tech trends.
This ongoing rally highlights China’s growing influence on worldwide economic dynamics, making it a key player to watch in global markets.
TECH GIANTS Spark Stock Market Surge: What Investors Need to Know
— The STOCK MARKET is seeing a surge, with predictions of a 0.49% rise. This optimism comes from major tech companies, whose earnings reports are expected to beat estimates. Investors are eagerly awaiting these results, fueling excitement across the market.
However, concerns about rising interest rates could dampen this enthusiasm. While the outlook remains positive now, potential rate hikes might impact investor sentiment soon. Market participants stay cautious as they navigate these mixed signals.
Besides stock market news, debates continue over a new lunch plan proposed by a coalition that may affect small businesses’ futures. Stakeholders are split on the possible effects of these changes, highlighting ongoing challenges in balancing economic growth with regulations.
MARKETS UNDER Pressure: How Budget and Trade Uncertainty Impact You
— The BSE Sensex and Nifty have often closed lower on budget days over the past decade. Recent sessions continue this trend. However, a JM Financial report shows that Nifty usually rebounds within a week after the budget, posting positive results 75% of the time. The Nifty Mid-Cap Index also shows strength, closing higher 67% of the time with an average return of 1.5%.
In commodities, silver prices have fallen below $31.50 per ounce despite a bullish market outlook. Gold remains strong above $2,800 as fears over tariffs and inflation drive demand for safe-haven assets. Analysts predict growth toward $3,000 if current conditions persist.
The US Dollar Index is gaining strength due to expected tariffs on Mexico and Canada this weekend. These tariffs could affect grocery prices in America as President Trump plans a 25% levy on goods from these countries. Meanwhile, crude oil prices are dropping as analysts wait for confirmation before making further predictions about market trends.
In banking news, several branches of Lloyds Bank, Halifax, and Bank of Scotland will close in February 2025 due to broader economic adjustments. The Financial Conduct Authority is now empowered to address the impacts of these closures on communities and customers alike.
CHINESE AI Revolution: DeepSeek’s Shockwave Hits US Tech Giants
— A new force in artificial intelligence, DeepSeek from China, is shaking up major U.S. tech firms. Their latest AI model, DeepSeek-R1, rivals top U.S. products like OpenAI’s GPT-4 and Google’s Gemini but at a fraction of the cost. This move challenges American dominance and has triggered a massive selloff in tech stocks.
Launched on January 20, 2025, DeepSeek-R1 boasts impressive performance with lower training costs than competitors. Nvidia faced a record market cap drop of over $500 billion — the largest single-day loss in U.S. stock market history — due to this launch. Experts are both amazed and skeptical about DeepSeek’s cost claims, sparking debate on future AI investment strategies.
DeepSeek’s CEO Liang Wenfeng has held closed-door meetings with Chinese leaders to discuss global tech competition implications from their advancements. The rapid rise of DeepSeek has sparked talks about traditional tech investment sustainability and potential industry shifts needed moving forward. Consumers are also interested, as the DeepSeek app topped download charts in both U.S. and China App Stores shortly after release.;
CHINA’S AI Threat: Tech Stocks in Danger of $1 Trillion Wipeout
— Chinese AI startup DeepSeek has shaken global tech stocks, sparking fears about America’s technological advantage. Investors worry about a potential $1 trillion loss in tech value due to rising foreign competition.
The drop in tech shares shows growing concern over the competitive landscape. Major indices have fallen, urging investors to be cautious as the situation develops.
This happens amid wider talks on global trade and economic competitiveness, especially in tech-heavy areas. Experts recommend reassessing portfolios, favoring stable investments over risky tech stocks.
Market analysts emphasize watching these changes closely as they could affect market stability and growth prospects in the technology sector moving forward.
APTIV STOCK Skyrockets After Bold Business Move
— Aptiv plans to spin off its electrical distribution systems (EDS) into a new company. This bold move lets Aptiv focus on advanced driver-aid technology. After the announcement, Aptiv’s shares soared by 5%.
Analysts point out that EDS has lower profit margins. The adjusted EBITDA margin for EDS is expected to be 9.5% in 2024, while Aptiv’s other operations boast an 18.8% margin.
Garrett Nelson from CFRA Research supports the spin-off, saying it aligns with Aptiv’s push toward high-margin growth areas. This strategic shift could enhance Aptiv’s future profitability and market position.
TRUMP’S $500 BILLION AI Move: A Bold Step for America’s Future
— President Donald TRUMP has announced a massive $500 billion investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure. This joint venture involves OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank. The initiative aims to build data centers, marking a significant technological advancement.
The project began during the Biden administration but has gained momentum under Trump’s leadership. This investment underscores the importance of AI for future economic growth and national security.
Trump’s announcement highlights his commitment to keeping America ahead in technology. The collaboration between these major companies is expected to drive innovation and create jobs across the country.
MICROSOFT’S Bold AI Move: Copilot Chat Unleashed
— Microsoft has launched Copilot Chat, a new service designed to increase AI use among businesses. This pay-as-you-go chat tool uses OpenAI’s GPT-4 to create AI agents for tasks like market research and strategy document creation. It supports multiple languages, including English and Mandarin, making it accessible to many users.
BUSINESSES WORRY OVER TRUMP POLICIES AS HE RETURNS TO POWER
A Federal Reserve survey shows U.S. businesses are worried about possible price hikes under President-elect Donald Trump’s policies. Even with moderate economic growth and more jobs at the end of 2024, concerns remain about Trump’s return to the White House next week. The survey includes feedback from business contacts across the Fed’s 12 regional banks as of January 6th.
BUFFETT CAUTIONS AGAINST COPYING HIS INVESTMENT MOVES BLINDLY
Warren Buffett warns against blindly following his investment strategies without understanding them fully. He points out that Berkshire Hathaway often buys entire businesses, not just stocks, requiring deep analysis and long-term planning. Buffett notes that unique advantages like Berkshire’s insurance “free float” significantly influence their investment choices.
WALL STREET Surges: Oil Price Drop Sparks Investor Optimism
— Wall Street is climbing today, driven by a 6% DROP in oil prices. Investors are gearing up for a crucial week of earnings reports from major tech firms.
Tech and energy stocks are leading the way, with analysts hopeful about tech giants’ futures. However, there is still caution about the overall economic outlook.
The fall in oil prices comes from oversupply worries and easing geopolitical tensions, affecting inflation rates and consumer spending that Wall Street closely monitors.
While U.S. markets rise, Asian markets face recession fears linked to U.S. economic performance, showing global interconnectedness and financial volatility.
— Tesla Stock Soars 22% on Musk’s Bold 2025 Growth Forecast The electric vehicle giant experienced its best trading day in over a decade following CEO Elon Musk’s optimistic projections for future growth
— S&P 500 RISES NEARLY 1% as Cooler Oil Prices Boost Market The Dow gained 100 points, reflecting positive investor sentiment amid declining oil prices
— S&P 500 Ends Lower on Friday, Yet AI Trading Sparks 145% Surge in First Half of 2024
— Alphabet Stock Surges: 14% Increase Post Strong Earnings and Debut Dividend
— JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Affirms: AI is More Than Hype, It’s Reality Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan, emphasizes the tangible impact of AI technology, stating it is not just a passing trend but a significant reality
FRONTIER AI: A Ticking Time Bomb? World Leaders and Tech Titans Convene to Discuss Risks
— The latest buzzword in the realm of artificial intelligence, Frontier AI, has been causing a stir due to its potential threats to human existence. Advanced chatbots like ChatGPT have dazzled with their capabilities, but fears about the risks associated with such technology are escalating. Top researchers, leading AI companies, and governments are advocating for protective measures against these looming dangers.
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak is orchestrating a two-day summit on frontier AI at Bletchley Park. The event is set to draw around 100 officials from 28 nations including U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. Executives from prominent U.S. artificial intelligence firms such as OpenAI, Google’s Deepmind and Anthropic will also be in attendance.
Sunak asserts that only governments can shield people from the hazards posed by this technology. However, he stressed that the U.K.'s strategy is not to hastily impose regulation despite identifying potential threats like using AI for crafting chemical or biological weapons.
Jeff Clune, an associate computer science professor at the University of British Columbia who specializes in AI and machine learning was among those urging for more government intervention in mitigating risks from AI last week — echoing warnings issued by tech tycoons like Elon Musk and Open
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GLOBAL ELECTIONS Shock: What’s at Stake for Iran, Britain, and France
— Over the next week, voters in countries like Iran, Britain, and France will head to the polls. These elections come at a critical time with global tensions high and public concerns over jobs, climate change, and inflation.
In Iran, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei seeks a successor for President Ebrahim Raisi following his recent death. Candidates include hard-liners Saeed Jalili and Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf as well as reformist Masoud Pezeshkian.
These elections could significantly impact global politics amid ongoing wars in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The outcomes may reorient international relations during this period of mutual suspicion among major powers.
Social Chatter
What the World is SayingSpoke with @GinaRaimondo and @ianbremmer in New York recently about how the West can stay competitive in a world being reshaped by technology - from securing supply chains to leading on AI....
. . .Spoke with @GinaRaimondo and @ianbremmer in New York recently about how the West can stay competitive in a world being reshaped by technology - from securing supply chains to leading on AI....
. . .New data on how human-like people think AI chatbots should be
. . .New data on how human-like people think AI chatbots should be
. . .New data on how human-like people think AI chatbots should be
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