THREAD: stock market plunges amid cautious

APTIV STOCK Skyrockets After Bold Business Move

23 January 2025 — Aptiv plans to spin off its electrical distribution systems (EDS) into a new company. This bold move lets Aptiv focus on advanced driver-aid technology. After the announcement, Aptiv’s shares soared by 5%.

Analysts point out that EDS has lower profit margins. The adjusted EBITDA margin for EDS is expected to be 9.5% in 2024, while Aptiv’s other operations boast an 18.8% margin.

Garrett Nelson from CFRA Research supports the spin-off, saying it aligns with Aptiv’s push toward high-margin growth areas. This strategic shift could enhance Aptiv’s future profitability and market position.

AMERICAN EXPRESS Hit Hard: $230 Million Settlement Shocks Industry

21 January 2025 — American Express has agreed to a $230 million settlement, surprising customers and industry insiders. This hefty financial blow highlights the growing scrutiny on major financial institutions. Analysts see this as a turning point, pushing companies to rethink their compliance strategies.

The settlement raises concerns about deeper issues within the financial industry. Customers are shocked and worried about how this might tarnish American Express’s reputation. Experts say this incident could lead to stricter oversight of financial firms in the future.

This development is crucial as it signals a potential shift in accountability for big financial players. The pressure is building for these giants to adapt to tighter regulations and increased consumer awareness. Financial companies may need to reevaluate their practices in response to this wake-up call.

TRUMP’S Inauguration Ignites Bitcoin Surge: Investors Rush to Crypto

19 January 2025 — Following Donald Trump’s inauguration, Bitcoin’s value has surged. Investors are flocking to cryptocurrencies, driven by shifts in economic policies under the new administration. This trend highlights the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets during major political changes.

AMERICAN EXPRESS FACES $230 MILLION BLOW: A Stark WARNING for Banks

American Express will pay a $230 million settlement for deceptive practices, impacting its financial standing. This serves as a warning to other financial institutions about the risks of misleading actions. The settlement underscores the regulatory challenges facing financial giants today.

VANGUARD’S SEC SETTLEMENT SHAKES TRUST: Investors on EDGE

Vanguard’s $106 million settlement with the SEC has sparked investor worries about compliance and risk management in investment firms. Transparency and ethical practices are crucial for maintaining trust in the financial sector. This case reminds investors of the importance of vigilance regarding regulatory issues within major firms.

BITCOIN SKYROCKETS: Trump’s Presidency Sparks Financial Frenzy

18 January 2025 — Bitcoin has surged past $100,000 as enthusiasts anticipate swift action from Donald Trump when he assumes the presidency next week. Created in 2009 as a decentralized form of electronic cash, Bitcoin has moved from obscurity to mainstream fame. Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming suggests the U.S. government should stockpile Bitcoin to diversify holdings and reduce financial risks.

In other financial news, American Express will pay $230 million to settle U.S. charges over deceptive sales practices involving credit card and wire transfer products for small businesses. The Justice Department accused Amex of misrepresenting rewards and fees between 2014 and 2017, along with submitting false information about prospective customers without consent. This settlement addresses both criminal and civil probes into these allegations.

Meanwhile, Capital One is dealing with a service outage that has extended into its second day, affecting customer access to deposits and transactions. The bank blames technical issues impacting various services offered to clients for this disruption. This comes after a lawsuit by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau against Capital One for allegedly misleading customers about savings-account offerings earlier this month.

Gold and silver are also gaining attention with forecasts predicting strong upside potential following Trump’s inauguration next week as president. Analysts are closely watching these precious metals amid shifting economic expectations under new leadership.;

VERTICAL THEME’S BIG Move: Alliance Bank Stake Sale to DBS?

17 January 2025 — Investment firm Vertical Theme Sdn. plans to seek approval to start talks about selling its stake in Alliance Bank Malaysia Bhd. Sources close to the situation revealed this potential sale, which could lead to big changes in the bank’s ownership. This move hints at a strategy shift for Vertical Theme as it explores opportunities with DBS, a major player in banking.

RUPIAH and WON SHOCKED by Central Bank SURPRISES

The Indonesian rupiah is near six-month lows, and the South Korean won ended a three-day winning streak after unexpected central bank decisions. Investors were surprised as both countries’ central banks made unanticipated interest rate calls, causing market fluctuations. These moves highlight today’s volatile and unpredictable global financial markets.

HEXTAR INDUSTRIES BREWS UP Luckin Coffee LAUNCH THIS MONTH!

Hextar Industries Bhd is gearing up for a soft opening of five Luckin Coffee outlets by month’s end through its subsidiary Global Aroma Sdn Bhd (GASB). This expansion marks Hextar’s entry into the competitive coffee market, aiming to capture consumer interest with Luckin Coffee’s brand appeal. The openings show Hextar’s strategic growth ambitions within Malaysia’s food and beverage industry.

GOLD PRICES Soar: What You Need to Know About Plunging US Yields

16 January 2025 — Gold prices climbed for the second day, fueled by falling U.S. yields and hints of easing core inflation. Investors are keeping a close eye on upcoming U.S. retail sales data, unemployment claims, and Federal Reserve announcements for more market insight.

The stock market saw a big lift after a surprisingly good consumer inflation report. The Dow surged 700 points while the Nasdaq jumped 2.5%. This shows optimism even though there are worries about high rates affecting stock performance.

Financial powerhouses Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan started the earnings season strong with impressive trading revenues, boosting the S&P 500’s financial sector to its best day in two months. Citigroup announced a $20 billion share buyback program as it tackles rising regulatory costs and compliance issues.

The U.S. dollar was volatile as traders analyzed inflation data showing core inflation dipped slightly from 3.3% to 3.2%. Market players await more direction from the Federal Reserve on interest rate policies amid these economic changes.

CHINA’S Record Trade Surplus Sparks Global Alarm

14 January 2025 — In December 2024, CHINA reached a record trade surplus of $104.8 billion. This was due to a surge in exports before President-elect Donald Trump could impose tariffs. The New York Times reported that China’s export boom is causing friction with many trade partners, not just the United States. Several nations are now erecting tariff barriers against Chinese products to protect their markets.

China’s export success has been an economic boon, creating millions of jobs in sectors like manufacturing and engineering. The nation dominates industries such as solar panels and is becoming self-sufficient in areas like commercial jets. However, China still struggles with energy independence outside solar power.

The automobile industry showcases China’s manufacturing strength, evolving from a major importer to the world’s largest car exporter in two decades. Critics argue that China’s overcapacity and government subsidies distort global auto markets by flooding them with cheap vehicles amid declining local demand.

While record exports might seem beneficial for China, they could lead to financial strain if companies face bankruptcy due to low prices and excess inventory as tariff barriers persist globally. The auto industry may have peaked, facing strong resistance from politically influential foreign markets protecting their own electric vehicle sectors through tariffs and subsidies.

STOCK MARKET Chaos: Inflation Fears Shake Investor Confidence

13 January 2025 — The U.S. STOCK market took a big hit today, with major indexes dropping over 3% due to rising inflation fears. Investors worry about possible Federal Reserve policy changes after high inflation numbers came out earlier this week. This is one of the steepest drops in months, shaking confidence that had been boosted by strong job reports.

Bond yields are up, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield hitting about 4.1%, its highest since late 2023, signaling increased inflation expectations. Big tech stocks like Apple and Microsoft saw sell-offs over 5%, adding to the market slump. Analysts warn that ongoing inflation might push the Federal Reserve to rethink interest rate policies, possibly leading to more hikes instead of cuts.

The decline comes after a strong holiday shopping season that initially suggested steady economic growth but is now overshadowed by ongoing inflation problems. Retail and consumer sectors face rising costs and reduced spending, making investors cautious in these areas. Companies like Walmart and Target report higher holiday sales but shrinking profit margins due to inflation pressures, prompting them to rethink annual forecasts.

Banks like JPMorgan are bracing for possible loan defaults as consumers struggle with higher living costs by setting aside more reserves. Market analysts expect continued volatility as investors digest new inflation data and Fed policy implications.;

“UK on EDGE: ANTI-Immigrant Unrest Sparks Fears of Violence”

13 January 2025 — British authorities are gearing up for more unrest despite efforts to calm far-right demonstrations. Prime Minister Keir Starmer stresses the need for vigilance as anti-immigrant violence rises.

The government aims to ease tensions worsened by heated immigration debates. Local police remain on high alert as violence grows, sparking fears of more clashes.

Starmer’s administration plans to work with community leaders and law enforcement to prevent potential flashpoints. The Prime Minister declared, “We will not tolerate violence or intimidation.”

This situation follows intense protests and counter-protests, especially in cities. Civil rights groups urge the government for a comprehensive approach to tackle xenophobia and violence in society.

ECONOMISTS SOUND Alarm: 2025 Financial Crisis Looms

07 January 2025 — Economists are raising alarms about a potential financial crisis in 2025. David Kelly from JPMorgan warns that high stock market valuations pose a significant risk despite strong economic indicators like low layoffs and cooling inflation. Investors should be cautious as these inflated values could lead to a sudden market downturn.

Current economic signs show paychecks growing faster than prices, and stable gas prices offer optimism for Americans. However, the high asset valuations remain a critical concern for analysts. They suggest preparing for increased market volatility throughout 2025, with a crisis potentially emerging early in the year.

These warnings have led to cautious trading, especially in tech stocks that previously drove gains. Traders are balancing concern with optimism, causing fluctuating stock prices in early sessions.

This situation may prompt investors to reassess their portfolios and strategies as they navigate potential shifts due to changing market conditions. The economic concerns highlighted could significantly influence investor behavior and market dynamics moving forward.

WALL STREET Surges: Oil Price Drop Sparks Investor Optimism

05 January 2025 — Wall Street is climbing today, driven by a 6% DROP in oil prices. Investors are gearing up for a crucial week of earnings reports from major tech firms.

Tech and energy stocks are leading the way, with analysts hopeful about tech giants’ futures. However, there is still caution about the overall economic outlook.

The fall in oil prices comes from oversupply worries and easing geopolitical tensions, affecting inflation rates and consumer spending that Wall Street closely monitors.

While U.S. markets rise, Asian markets face recession fears linked to U.S. economic performance, showing global interconnectedness and financial volatility.

UK BRACES for WINTER Chaos: Snow and Freezing Rain Cause Turmoil

05 January 2025 — The UK is facing harsh weather as heavy snow and freezing rain spread across the country. Amber warnings urge residents to be cautious about dangerous travel and disruptions.

Travel chaos hits with major delays on roads and railways, while airports see many flight cancellations. Authorities advise staying indoors unless absolutely necessary.

Public safety is a top concern as emergency services prepare to handle weather-related incidents. New Year’s events are affected, leading organizers to cancel or change plans due to icy conditions.

Officials recommend checking local forecasts, avoiding unnecessary travel, and preparing for possible power outages or extended disruptions during this difficult time.

TRAGIC PLUNGE: Truck Plummets Into Ethiopian River, 66 Lives Lost

04 January 2025 — A tragic accident in southern Ethiopia claimed the lives of at least 66 people when a truck plunged into a river. The incident happened on January 4, 2025, involving market traders heading to a local market.

Rescue teams rushed to recover bodies and help survivors amid chaotic scenes described by eyewitnesses. This accident is one of the deadliest in recent history for the region, raising concerns about road safety.

Ethiopia struggles with road safety and infrastructure challenges, prompting government promises for thorough investigations and preventive actions. Overloaded vehicles are a major concern as authorities continue their probe.

GREEN AGENDA Hits Hard: Ofgem Warns of Financial Burden on Low-Income Consumers

13 March 2024 — The Office of Gas and Electricity Markets (Ofgem) sounded an alarm on Monday. It cautioned that the shift towards a “Net Zero” carbon emissions economy could unfairly impact low-income consumers. These individuals might lack the financial resources to acquire government-approved technology or modify their lifestyle habits.

In the past year alone, debts from energy consumers have skyrocketed by 50%, amassing a total of £3 billion. Ofgem voiced grave concerns about struggling households’ limited resilience to future price shocks. The regulator also highlighted that the burden of recovering bad debts could pose serious threats to the retail energy sector.

Economic difficulties have already pushed British consumers into rationing their energy consumption. This has led to “harms associated with living in a cold, damp home,” potentially triggering an increase in mental health issues rates.

Tim Jarvis, Ofgem’s director general, underscored the necessity for a long-term strategy to manage escalating debt levels and shield struggling consumers from future price shocks. He mentioned that measures such as altering standing charges for prepayment meter customers and tightening requirements on suppliers had been implemented.

UK-CANADA Trade Talks GRIND to a Halt: The Beef and Cheese Battle That’s Costing Billions

26 January 2024 — The UK government has unexpectedly put the brakes on post-Brexit trade talks with Canada. This sudden move follows a two-year stalemate over beef and cheese imports and exports, which began after Britain officially left the European Union.

Trade between these nations, valued at roughly 26 billion pounds ($33 billion) per year, has mostly persisted under the initial agreement made while Britain was still an EU member. However, Canadian negotiators are feeling the heat from their own beef industry and local cheesemakers. The former is pushing for access to the UK market for hormone-fed beef, while cheesemakers are raising alarms about tariff-free imports of British cheese.

The privilege of tariff-free British cheese exports came to a halt at the close of 2023 when a temporary agreement expired. This change led to a staggering 245% duty hike for British producers. Canada’s trade minister Mary Ng firmly stated that Canada “will never agree to a deal that isn’t beneficial for our workers, farmers and businesses.” Minette Batters, president of the National Farmers’ Union in England and Wales praised Britain’s resistance against hormone-fed beef imports.

Despite this hiccup in negotiations, the UK government remains open-minded about future discussions. However, any significant progress appears unlikely at present.

US STEEL Takeover: BLOCKING Japanese Buyout Could Save American Jobs

22 December 2023 — Nippon Steel, Japan’s leading steel company, is facing a storm of criticism over its planned $14 billion acquisition of U.S. Steel Corporation. The deal, unveiled on Monday, values U.S. Steel at $55 per share and has sparked immediate opposition, especially in the Rust Belt where U.S. Steel has been a cornerstone since 1901.

Despite U.S. Steel’s assurances that the merger would unite “two storied companies with rich histories,” lawmakers are demanding action. Senators J.D. Vance (R-OH), Josh Hawley (R-MO), and Marco Rubio (R-FL) have written to Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen urging the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) to halt the deal.

The senators contend that domestic steel production is vital for national security and needs careful scrutiny before permitting foreign investment. CFIUS, led by Yellen, holds the authority to stop such investments after a review process.

While experts predict CFIUS is more likely to block deals involving countries perceived as adversaries like Russia or China rather than allies like Japan, this situation highlights bipartisan worries about foreign control over crucial industries.

UK INFLATION TUMBLES to 39%: Central Bank May Slash Rates Sooner Than Predicted

21 December 2023 — The Office for National Statistics (ONS) recently announced a surprising drop in UK inflation to 3.9% in November, a decrease from the previous month’s 4.6%. This dip, larger than what financial markets had forecasted, marks the lowest inflation level since September 2021.

This decline is primarily attributed to falling fuel and food prices according to the ONS. However, despite this optimistic news, the Bank of England’s primary interest rate remains at a staggering high of 5.25%, not seen for over a decade and a half.

Governor Andrew Bailey hinted that this stringent interest rate policy might continue for some time. Yet Samuel Tombs, chief U.K economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics suggests an alternative view — that this sharp fall in inflation could trigger an earlier-than-expected cut in interest rates; perhaps as early as the first half of next year.

While elevated interest rates initially helped curb inflation sparked by supply chain disruptions and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, they have also put pressure on consumer spending and slowed economic growth. As such there are growing worries that maintaining high rates could inflict unnecessary damage on the economy.

Bipartisan Committee CALLS for END of China’s Trade Status: A Potential Jolt to US Economy

12 December 2023 — A bipartisan committee, led by Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-WI) and Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi (D-IL), has been studying the economic effects of China on the US for a year. The investigation centered on job market changes, manufacturing shifts, and national security concerns since China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001.

The committee released a report this Tuesday recommending President Joe Biden’s administration and Congress to implement nearly 150 policies to counteract China’s economic influence. One significant suggestion is to cancel China’s permanent normal trade relations status (PNTR) with the U.S., a status endorsed by former President George W. Bush in 2001.

The report argues that granting PNTR to China did not bring anticipated benefits for the US or trigger expected reforms in China. It asserts that this has led to a loss of vital U.S. economic leverage and inflicted damage on U.S industry, workers, and manufacturers due to unfair trade practices.

The committee proposes shifting China into a new tariff category that reinstates U.S economic leverage while reducing dependence on Chinese

STATE DEPARTMENT’S ‘Worldwide Caution’: The Shocking Implications for American Holiday Travelers

20 November 2023 — As the holiday season draws near, the State Department’s recent “Worldwide Caution” travel advisory has sparked anxiety among many Americans. However, experts reassure that conditions in most popular tourist spots remain stable.

James Hess, a professor at the School of Security and Global Studies at American Public University System, encourages alertness during international travel. Despite a seemingly delicate global security scene due to the Israel-Hamas conflict, he believes that Americans are savvy travelers.

The advisory came in response to escalating conflict in Gaza and was reissued last week. It cautions about potential terrorist attacks or violent incidents targeting U.S. citizens and interests overseas.

Despite these warnings, Hess underscores that tourism is a vital economic lifeline for many nations who strive to make American tourists feel secure during their visits.

UK Inflation DEFIES Predictions, STAYS at 67%: What’s Next for the Economy?

18 October 2023 — The UK’s inflation rate held steady at 6.7% in September, flying in the face of economists’ predictions for a slight decrease. The Office for National Statistics highlighted that while food and drink prices dipped, they were counterbalanced by an uptick in fuel costs.

This persistent inflation rate is more than triple the Bank of England’s target of 2%. Despite this, it is not expected that the bank will hike interest rates during its November policy meeting. Instead, it seems set to keep its main borrowing rate at a peak not seen in 15 years — a hefty 5.25%.

James Smith from the Resolution Foundation think tank offered his perspective on this economic puzzle: “For now, progress on reducing inflation has hit a roadblock.” He anticipates a significant drop to below 5% next month as energy prices are projected to fall for most consumers.

In response to price surges triggered by pandemic-induced supply chain disruptions and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — both factors contributing heavily to increased food and energy costs — the Bank of England has been steadily cranking up interest rates from near zero levels.